Interview with Sun TV about 2017 North East Monsoon forecast and warnings of extreme weather conditions during 2018.

2015 WEATHER FORECAST PUBLISHED at TAMILNADUMANDRAM.COM


2015 weather forecast published @ tamilnadumandram.com

WEATHER FORECAST – 2017 PART –II (For the period between 24th July, 2017 and 10th January, 2018)

(Also glimpses into 2018/19 Weather forecast)

The Period between 24th July ‘17 and 16th August ’17 will be very hot and humid. During this period isolated places will experience squally winds with thunderstorms (Very high lightning and thunder activity) with moderate to heavy rainfall. Interior western states, North, Northwest states, Interior & East Karnataka, Telangana, interior Andhra and Tamilnadu are likely to experience this activity.

Important dates:  

1. Between 30th July, 2017 and 1st August, 2017,
2. Between 5th August, 2017 and 10th August, 2017
3. Between 14th August, 2017 and 16th August, 2017

Between 17th August, 2017 and 31st August, 2017 widespread rainfall is forecast. Central Indian states and Northwest states will get the best rainfall compared to the rest of the country.

Important dates: 

A well marked low pressure system will give rainfall initially. It will become a deep depression around 23rd August, 2017 and become a Cyclone around 25th August, 2017. This Cyclone will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall,  oscillate close to the coast between Orissa and Bangladesh before crossing the coast around 31st August, 2017.

Good monsoon activity is forecast during the period between 1st September, 2017 and 12th October, 2017.  Widespread rainfall is forecast with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall at isolated places.

Important dates: (Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall)

1. Between 2nd September, 2017 and  6th September, 2017
2. Between 11th September, 2017 and 14th September, 2017
3. Between 16th September, 2017 and 20th September, 2017
4. Between 23rd September, 2017 and 29th September, 2017 and
5. Between 3rd October, 2017 and 5th October, 2017.

There could be two Cyclones between 7th October, 2017 and 12th October, 2017.

• The first one will give widespread rainfall before crossing the coast around 11th October, 2017. ( between Mahabalipuram and Ongole)  and
• The second Cyclone between 15th October, 2017 and 20th October, 2017 will be comparatively dry in terms of rainfall but with devastating winds will cause more damages before crossing the coast between Cuddalore & Nellore around 18thOctober, 2017.

Squally winds with thunderstorms are forecast for the period between 21st October, 2017 and 8th December, 2017 with moderate to heavy rainfall at isolated places. Northeast Monsoon will set around 26th October, 2017.

Between 8th November, 2017 and 9th December, 2017 below normal temperatures will be recorded.

Important dates;

• Between 27th October, 2017 and 30th October, 2017
• Between 3rd November, 2017 and 7th November, 2017
• Between 10th November, 2017 and 12th November, 2017
• Between 16th November, 2017 and 19th November, 2017
• Between 22nd November, 2017 and 28th November, 2017 and
• Between 2nd December, 2017 and 6th December, 2017.

Moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast for the period between 9th December, 2017 and 10th January, 2018.

Important dates:

• Look for a depression in the Bay of Bengal between 7th December, 2017 and 13th December, 2017. This system will give widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall to the central and south Tamilnadu. North Tamilnadu can expect moderate rainfall only. This depression will weaken after crossing the coast around 9th December, 2017 between Kodikarai and Cuddalore.
• Between 15th December, 2017 and 18th December, 2017
• Between 26th December, 2017 and 30th December, 2017
• 1st January, 2018 and 5th January, 2018  and
• Between 7th January, 2018 and 10th January, 2018 (Cyclone in south Indian Ocean)

The Northeast monsoon for 2017 could be indifferent and insufficient, but I request people of south India especially Tamilnadu that from March, 2017 ‘The excess pre-monsoon rainfall and a Good southwest monsoon rainfall should be effectively saved and used for the rest of the year.

Moreover like 2017, in 2018 also a short burst of rainfall during last week of January, 2018 and early rainfall from the third week of February2018 till first week of April, 2018 will be of some relief. But very HARSH summer is forecast for the period between 11th April, 2018 and the last week of June, 2018.

The south west monsoon for the year 2018 will begin sluggishly during 3rd week of June, 2018.  But from the last week of June, 2018 rapid changes will take place and the southwest monsoon will be very aggressive and widespread to give ‘The Best rainfall till 3rd week of August, 2018.

From the last week of August, 2018 till last week of September, 2018 more cyclone related weather condition will prevail.  From first week of October, 2018 till end of January, 2019 unending rainfall will cause immense hardship to the southern states in particular Tamilnadu.

In order to plan disaster management and to reduce damages due to cyclone and floods my detailed Weather forecast for the Year 2018/19 will be released before 30th April, 2017.  I am confident this will definitely help the government as well the people to realize the advantage of VEDIC METEOROLOGY.

RAMACHANDRAN, 

Astro-Meteorologist.
Email:- sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com

'Puyal' Ramachandran interviewed for his accurate forecast of 2015 catastrophic floods of Chennai in Paesum Thalaimai - News 7

VEDIC ASTRO-METEOROLOGY ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR 2018 (Prepared during July, 2017)

MAIN PONTS:

Ramachandran, Vedic-Meteorology Researcher

(1) A Negative Indian ocean dipole is forecast between last week of January, 2018 and last week of February 2018, (2)The most important forecast for the first half of 2018 is the “Emergence of POWERFUL POSITIVE INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE between the last week of March, 2018 and second week of June, 2018. Damages to life and property is forecast due to “Spate of Cyclones, Typhoons, Blizzards, Powerful tornadoes during the above period (3) South West Monsoon for the Indian subcontinent will be sluggish till the last week of June, 2018 (4) Excellent Rainfall of South West monsoon is forecast between last week of June, 2018 and till last week of August, 2018 (5) Temperatures will reach Very High Between second week of August, 2018 and last week of September, 2018. In this period Indian South West monsoon will be hit with below normal rainfall. Also during this period Very high activity of Cyclones, Typhoons in the Pacific and Hurricanes in the Atlantic is forecast. (6) South West Monsoon will yield rainfall till third week of October, 2018. Overall SOUTHWEST MONSOON will yield NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL (minus 10 to 15%). (7) The North East monsoon for the southern peninsula will be ABOVE NORMAL & volatile with unusually high Temperatures and Two cyclones are forecast before the year end. Tamilnadu will end up with Excess rainfall for the year 2018.

Detailed forecast:
Dry weather is forecast for Tamilnadu and the southern states during the month of January, 2018 and Northern states will reel under severe cold wave conditions and heavy to very heavy snowfall is forecast.

Important dates for precautionary measures:
(1)Between 2nd January & 5th January, 2018
(2) Between 8th January 11th January, 2018, ALSO between 13th January & 18th January, 2018,
(3) Between 24th January & 26th January, 2018 and
(4) Between 29th January & 1st February, 2018

The Period between 30th January, 2018 and 21st February, 2018 will experience above normal temperatures and during this period thunderstorms with squally winds are forecast.

Important dates for precautionary measures:
Between 7th February and 9th February, (2) Between 12th February and 17th February.

Moderate to Good Pre-monsoon rainfall is forecast for the period between 22nd February and 5th April, 2018. TamilNadu, Kerala and South Andhrapradesh will get the benefits. South Tamil Nadu and South Kerala will get more benefits than the rest will get light to moderate rainfall.

Important dates for Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall warning:
(1)Between 22nd February & 25th February, 2018, (Kerala and interior Tamil Nadu),
(2) Between 27th February & 2nd March, 2018, (South, central & coastal Tamil Nadu),
(3) Between 8th March & 11th March, 2018, (South, central & coastal Tamilnadu),
(4) Between 15th March & 17th March, 2018, (South, Central and North Tamil Nadu),
(5) Between 23rd March & 27th March, 2018, (North Tamil Nadu and South Andhra)

Possibility of Tremors/mine disaster/Landslide is forecast between (a) 22nd march & 26th march, 2018 and (b) Between 14th April & 16th April, 2018 and

6) Look for a Severe Cyclone between 31st March and 5th April, 2018. This cyclone will cross the coast Bangladesh and Myanmar around 4th April, 2018. This system will continue to travel inland and dump heavy to very heavy rainfall between 7th April and 9th April, 2018.

Very Strong POSITIVE INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE will emerge and prevail between 6th April and 10th June, 2018.  Indian subcontinent and countries around will experience Very high temperatures during this period.  Australia will face drought. Southern peninsular India will be facing Very Severe drought conditions.  I am confident to recommend educational institutions to conduct exams before the end of March, 2018 and declare vacations.  This will reduce the hardship of important section of the society.  But Very high activity of Cyclones and thunderstorms are forecast for this period. Countries in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific will suffer due to storms &catastrophic floods.

(Apart from the drifting Huge Iceberg of Antarctica fresh calving will be unavoidable as STRONGER (than 2018) POSITIVE INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE WILL EMERGE DURING 2020. It will be active from the beginning of March and will be active till first week of May, 2020. Compared to 2006, Australia will face worst drought in 2020)

Important dates for precautionary measures:
(1)Between 7thApril & 10th April, 2018,
(2)Between 14TH April & 19th April, 2018 look for a Severe Cyclone/Typhoon,
(3) Heavy to Very heavy rainfall between 21st April & 24th April, 2018, (Cyclone/Typhoon),
(4)Another Severe Cyclone /Typhoon is possible in the Indian Ocean /south Pacific between 27th April & 2nd May, 2018,
(5)Localised thunderstorm with heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between 7th May & 10th May, 2018, and
(6) Look for a Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 13th May & 21st May, 2018. This will also drift towards Bangladesh/Myanmar. This system will continue dump heavy to very heavy rainfall between 21st May & 24th May, 2018

Conditions will be favourable between 28th May, 2018 and 4th June, 2018 for the onset of South west monsoon.  Though the monsoon will be making normal advancement, rainfall will not be widespread.  The performance of monsoon will be sluggish and far below normal till the last week of June, 2018.  Southern states will suffer the most.

Heavy to very Heavy rainfall at isolated places is forecast on the following dates:
(1) Localised storm between 4th June & 9th June, 2018,
(2) Between 12h June & 15th June, 2018
(3)Between 20th June & 22nd June, 2018, and
(4)Between 25th June & 27th June, 2018.

THE BEST RAINFALL PERIOD of 2018 SOUTHWEST MONSOON will be between LAST WEEK OF JUNE, and THIRD WEEK OF AUGUST, 2018. This session will come to an end with a Severe Cyclone around 16th August, 2018.  Widespread rainfall covering the entire country is forecast.  The Eastern Sector and the central sectors will get more rainfall compare to the Northwest sector and southern sector. Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan may end up with deficit rainfall.

Heavy to very Heavy rainfall warning for precautionary measures:
(1)Between 5th July & 8th July, 2018,
(2) Between 10th July & 14th July, 2018,
(3)Between 19th July and 21st July, 2018,
(4)Between 23rd July and 27th July, 2018,
(5)Between 4th August and 11th August, 2018 (could be Severe Cyclone) and

(6)Between 12th August and 16th August Look for a Sever Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal. This Cyclone will be very destructive and will cross the coast between Srikakulam of Andhrapradesh and Chandipur of Orissa. This system travelling inland will continue to dump heavy to very heavy rainfall between 18th August and 20th August, 2018.

The period between 16th August and 25th September, 2018 will be very hot and far above normal temperatures upset normal life. Cyclones/ Thunderstorms with squally winds at isolated places are forecast.

Important dates of cyclone/ thunderstorm activity:
(1)Between 1st September & 5th September, 2018,
(2)Between 7th September & 11th September, 2018,
(3)Between 15th September & 19th September, 2018 and
(4)Between 20th September & 25th September, 2018, A well marked low pressure in the Bay of Bengal will revive Southwest monsoon and widespread rainfall is forecast. Southern states and Orissa, West Bengal and the north eastern states will get more benefits.

The period between 25th September and 30th October, 2018 will witness fairly widespread rainfall.   Southern states will get maximum benefits during the above period.

Heavy to very Heavy rainfall warning for precautionary measures:
(1)Between 25th September & 27th September, 2018,
(2)Between 1st October & 4th October, 2018,
(3) Between 7th October & 11th October, 2018, and
(4)Between 16th October & 19th October, 2018,

With a change in the weather pattern after 24th October, 2018 possibility of a Cyclone in the Arabian Sea between 24th October and 30th October, 2018 is forecast. This cyclone will be weak but will yield good rainfall and likely to cross the coast between Mahe and Mangalore around 28th October, 2018. This system will continue to travel inland and dump heavy to very heavy rainfall between 31st October and 3rd November 2018.

The period between 31st October and 26th November, 2018 will witness squally winds with thunderstorms. During this period winter will set in and the night temperatures will be near normal. But fairly wide spread rainfall is also forecast. While Southern districts of Tamilnadu, Kerala get heavy to moderate rainfall, moderate in Central and light rain in North Tamilnadu is forecast. There is sure possibility of a severe cyclone during the above period.

Important dates of cyclone/ thunderstorm activity:
(1)Between 5th November & 10th November, 2018, (around Nagapattinam)
(2) Between 13th November & 18th November, 2018, (Severe cyclone around Nagapattinam) and
(3) Between 22nd November & 26th November, 2018,

More widespread rainfall is forecast for the period between 27thNovember and 31stDecember, 2018. During these period Southern districts of Tamilnadu, Kerala will get more rainfall and moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast for Central Tamilnadu. Severe Flooding during this period is forecast.

Heavy to very Heavy rainfall warning for precautionary measures:
(1)Between 29th November & 2nd December, 2018
(2) Between 5th December & 10th December, 2018,
(3) Between 12th December &17th December, 2018,
(4) Between 21st December & 24th December, 2018, and
(5)Look for a Cyclone between 29th December, 2018 and 1st January, 2019. This system will cross the coast between Tuticorin and Tondi.

My sincere efforts have gone into preparing this forecast. Year on year I am learning and showing quality improvement on the dependability of my LONG RANGE SPECIFIC WEATHER forecast. My request to our Government and the general public of Southern peninsula is that, they should take serious measures to save whatever rain water we are getting between third week of August, 2017 and end of December, 2017. Though moderate rainfall is forecast before the end of March, 2018, it will not be sufficient to meet the demand of subsequent months. Moreover adding to the water crisis the ‘Extreme Summer between April and end of June, 2018 will cripple normal life. We can reduce the hardship little bit if our government advises/Orders all the Educational institutions to conduct exams before the end of March, 2018 and declare vacations.

Article by Vedic-Meteorology Researcher:
S. RAMACHANDRAN, Astro-Meteorologist. sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com